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338Canada Projection: Quebec Sovereignty

Latest update: March 5, 2026



Sovereignty projection | 18-34 years old 50% 68% 59% ± 9% 24% 41% 33% ± 8% 3% 13% 8% ± 5% 338Canada Quebec | March 5, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Distribution of undecideds | 18-34 years old 59% 8% 33% Before distribution 64% 36% Proportional distribution 63% 37% Half & half 65% 35% Two thirds to No camp 62% 38% Two thirds to Yes camp 338Canada Quebec | March 5, 2026

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