logo
Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Pallas Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Pallas Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 24, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,015 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (November 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses two points from 45% to 43% (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party climbs two points from 28% to 30% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 18%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 43% ▼2 PC 30% ▲2 OLP 18% NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 39% ▼1 PC 34% ▼4 OLP 23% ▲8 NDP 2% ▼3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
GTA 47% ▲2 PC 31% ▲1 OLP 13% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼5 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 40% PC 32% ▲2 OLP 22% ▼4 NDP 3% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 40% ▼8 PC 28% ▲10 OLP 18% ▼4 NDP 10% ▲3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 38% ▼8 PC 32% ▲7 OLP 20% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
North 52% PC 19% ▲2 NDP 18% ▼7 OLP 6% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 36% ▲5 OLP 34% ▼7 PC 19% ▼1 NDP 8% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
Male voters 52% ▲3 PC 24% ▼2 OLP 17% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼4 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▼4 PC 31% ▲9 OLP 20% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 40% ▲4 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 22% ▼7 NDP 6% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 43% ▼8 PC 32% ▲5 OLP 14% ▲4 NDP 6% ▼3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com
65+ years old 43% ▲1 PC 32% ▼4 OLP 16% ▲3 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2026-01-24 338Canada.com






Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…

P#422