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About this Ontario poll from Pallas Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Pallas Data in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,077 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (September 2025), the Ontario PC Party remains stable at 45%, the Ontario Liberal Party climbs two points from 26% to 28% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 45% PC 28% ▲2 OLP 18% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 40% ▼2 PC 38% ▲4 OLP 15% ▼2 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
GTA 45% ▼5 PC 30% ▲3 OLP 12% ▼3 NDP 9% ▲5 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 40% ▼18 PC 30% ▲16 OLP 26% ▲11 NDP 3% ▲3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 48% ▲7 PC 22% ▲6 NDP 18% ▼3 OLP 7% ▼6 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 46% ▲12 PC 25% ▼1 OLP 22% ▼5 NDP 5% ▼5 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
North 52% ▲6 PC 25% ▼4 OLP 17% ▲9 NDP 6% ▼6 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▲3 PC 31% ▲2 OLP 20% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
Male voters 49% ▼2 PC 26% ▲3 OLP 15% ▲2 NDP 7% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 48% ▲2 PC 22% ▲5 OLP 19% ▼4 NDP 7% ▼2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 36% ▼5 PC 29% ▲12 NDP 29% ▲3 OLP 5% ▼5 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 51% ▲3 PC 27% ▼2 OLP 10% ▼3 NDP 9% ▲4 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com
65+ years old 42% ▼2 PC 36% ▲2 OLP 13% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-15 338Canada.com






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