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About this Ontario poll from Pallas Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Pallas Data in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 4, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,026 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (June 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs two points from 43% to 45% (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party loses three points from 29% to 26% (variation similar to moe), and the Ontario NDP loses four points from 21% to 17%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 45% ▲2 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 17% ▼4 NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 42% ▲7 PC 34% ▲4 OLP 17% ▼11 NDP 6% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
GTA 50% ▲5 PC 27% ▼8 OLP 15% NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 58% ▲23 PC 15% ▼17 NDP 14% ▼10 OLP Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 41% ▼8 PC 21% OLP 16% NDP 13% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 34% ▼7 PC 27% ▲1 NDP 26% ▼1 OLP 10% ▲6 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
North 46% ▼10 PC 29% ▼1 OLP 12% ▲9 GPO 8% ▼3 NDP Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▼2 PC 29% ▼2 OLP 21% ▲1 NDP 7% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
Male voters 51% ▲5 PC 23% ▼4 OLP 13% ▼8 NDP 7% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 46% ▲5 PC 23% ▼2 NDP 17% ▼11 OLP 9% ▲5 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 41% PC 26% ▲2 OLP 17% ▼8 NDP 10% ▲3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 48% PC 29% ▲2 OLP 13% ▼4 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
65+ years old 44% ▲3 PC 34% ▼1 OLP 15% NDP 4% ▼4 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 36% Ford 19% Crombie 14% Stiles 14% Don't know 6% Schreiner Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-09-04 338Canada.com
Pallas Data Preferred Premier tracker 19% 36% 14% 14%2025-09-04 ◻︎Crombie ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 




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