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About this Ontario poll from Pallas Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Pallas Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 29, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,080 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (February 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses three points from 46% to 43% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party remains stable at 29%, and the Ontario NDP climbs four points from 17% to 21%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 43% ▼3 PC 29% OLP 21% ▲4 NDP 6% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 35% ▼6 PC 30% ▼5 OLP 28% ▲7 NDP 6% ▲4 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
GTA 45% ▼2 PC 35% ▲2 OLP 15% ▲3 NDP 5% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 35% ▼5 PC 32% NDP 24% ▲3 OLP 4% GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 49% ▲3 PC 21% ▼8 OLP 16% ▲4 NDP 11% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 41% ▼13 PC 27% ▲4 OLP 26% ▲6 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
North 56% ▲5 PC 30% ▲12 OLP 11% ▼6 NDP 3% ▼6 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 40% ▲2 PC 31% ▼3 OLP 20% NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
Male voters 46% ▼8 PC 27% ▲3 OLP 21% ▲6 NDP 5% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 41% ▼6 PC 28% ▲4 OLP 25% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 41% ▼6 PC 25% ▲6 NDP 24% ▼3 OLP 7% ▲3 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 48% ▲1 PC 27% ▼3 OLP 17% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲1 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com
65+ years old 41% ▼3 PC 35% ▼1 OLP 15% ▲1 NDP 8% ▲2 GPO Pallas Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-29 338Canada.com






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