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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 20, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (December 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses two points from 44% to 42% (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party remains stable at 35%, and the Ontario NDP is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 42% ▼2 PC 35% OLP 17% ▲1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 46% ▲1 OLP 38% ▼2 PC 13% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
GTA 42% ▼2 OLP 41% ▲3 PC 13% ▼1 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 40% ▼8 PC 34% ▲11 NDP 23% OLP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 42% ▼10 PC 31% ▲3 OLP 17% NDP 8% ▲7 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 55% ▲1 PC 23% OLP 18% NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
North 41% ▲1 OLP 32% ▲2 PC 20% ▲1 NDP 2% ▼4 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 36% ▼1 PC 18% ▼23 OLP 17% NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
Male voters 49% ▼3 PC 15% ▲1 NDP 15% ▼14 OLP 5% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▼5 PC 30% ▲1 OLP 23% ▲2 NDP 6% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 46% PC 31% OLP 17% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 43% ▼1 PC 40% OLP 12% NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com
65+ years old 42% ▼2 PC 40% ▼1 OLP 15% ▲2 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com



Government approval 65% Disapprove 31% Approve 4% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2026-01-20 338Canada.com



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