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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in December 2025, with a middle field date of December 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (October 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses three points from 47% to 44% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party climbs two points from 33% to 35% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 44% ▼3 PC 35% ▲2 OLP 16% ▲1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 45% ▲8 OLP 40% ▼3 PC 11% ▼4 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
GTA 44% ▲9 OLP 38% ▼6 PC 14% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 48% ▲3 PC 23% ▲3 NDP 23% ▼5 OLP 4% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 52% ▲4 PC 28% ▼8 OLP 17% ▲6 NDP 1% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 54% ▼7 PC 23% ▼1 OLP 18% ▲6 NDP 3% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
North 40% ▲7 OLP 30% ▼5 PC 19% ▼7 NDP 6% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 41% ▲8 OLP 37% ▼1 PC 17% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
Male voters 52% ▼5 PC 29% ▲3 OLP 14% ▲3 NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 44% ▼3 PC 29% ▼2 OLP 21% ▲5 NDP 4% ▲2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 46% ▼9 PC 31% ▲3 OLP 16% ▲4 NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 44% ▼1 PC 40% ▲6 OLP 12% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com
65+ years old 44% ▲2 PC 41% ▲2 OLP 13% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼4 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-12-06 338Canada.com






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