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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 15, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=800 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (August 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs three points from 44% to 47% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party loses two points from 35% to 33% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 15%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

Back to Ontario polls

Ontario 47% ▲3 PC 33% ▼2 OLP 15% NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 43% ▲5 PC 37% ▼5 OLP 15% NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
GTA 44% ▲1 PC 35% OLP 15% NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 45% ▲3 PC 28% ▼3 OLP 20% NDP 6% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 48% ▲3 PC 36% OLP 11% ▼2 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 61% ▲6 PC 24% ▼3 OLP 12% ▼1 NDP 1% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
North 35% ▲4 PC 33% OLP 26% ▼3 NDP 4% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% ▲4 PC 33% ▼8 OLP 18% ▼1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
Male voters 57% ▲3 PC 26% ▼2 OLP 11% ▼1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% ▲3 PC 31% ▼1 OLP 16% ▼2 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 55% ▲2 PC 28% OLP 12% ▼1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 45% ▲4 PC 34% ▼3 OLP 15% ▼1 NDP 3% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com
65+ years old 42% ▲4 PC 39% ▼3 OLP 14% NDP 6% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-10-15 338Canada.com






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