About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data
This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 11, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,006 Ontario respondents via an online panel.
The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.
If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (November 2025), the Ontario PC Party loses three points from 51% to 48% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP remains stable at 19%.
You can read more information on this poll here.