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About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in November 2025, with a middle field date of November 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (October 2025), the Ontario PC Party remains stable at 51%, the Ontario Liberal Party loses two points from 25% to 23% (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP climbs four points from 15% to 19%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 51% PC 23% ▼2 OLP 19% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 46% ▼12 PC 29% ▲3 OLP 20% ▲8 NDP 4% ▲3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
GTHA 54% ▲6 PC 24% ▼8 OLP 16% ▲5 NDP 2% ▼5 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 55% ▲2 PC 19% ▲3 NDP 17% OLP 6% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 40% ▼13 PC 30% ▲8 OLP 22% ▲6 NDP 3% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 47% ▼2 PC 25% OLP 21% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Male voters 54% PC 21% ▼3 OLP 17% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 44% ▲4 PC 24% ▲9 NDP 23% ▼8 OLP 6% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 50% ▼1 PC 24% ▼1 OLP 18% ▲4 NDP 4% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 54% ▼4 PC 20% OLP 17% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
60+ years old 52% PC 25% OLP 18% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 45% ▼1 Ford 18% ▼1 Don't know 17% ▼1 Crombie 15% ▲3 Stiles 5% ▲1 Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 17% 45% 15% 18%2025-11-06 18% 46% 12% 19%2025-10-12 18% 46% 12% 18%2025-09-15 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Crombie ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 42% Approve 34% ▲1 Disapprove 24% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 42% 34%2025-11-06 42% 33%2025-10-12 47% 31%2025-09-15 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 44% 31%2025-06-04 41% 42%2025-02-25 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 42% ▼1 Positive / favourable 37% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 21% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 42% 37%2025-11-06 43% 35%2025-10-12 46% 33%2025-09-15 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 44% 33%2025-06-04 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 42% ▼5 Neutral / Unsure 31% ▲5 Positive / favourable 27% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-11-06 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 31% 27%2025-11-06 26% 27%2025-10-12 28% 27%2025-09-15 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 28% 25%2025-06-04 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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