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About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in June 2025, with a middle field date of June 4, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (February 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs four points from 45% to 49%, the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP loses two points from 16% to 14% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 49% ▲4 PC 28% ▼1 OLP 14% ▼2 NDP 5% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 39% ▼1 PC 35% ▼3 OLP 15% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
GTHA 50% ▼2 PC 31% ▲5 OLP 12% ▼2 NDP 3% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 59% ▲17 PC 20% ▼7 OLP 11% ▼3 NDP 7% ▼3 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 50% ▲14 PC 27% ▼7 OLP 12% ▼7 NDP 5% ▲2 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% ▲10 PC 29% ▼2 OLP 13% ▼6 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Male voters 50% ▼1 PC 28% OLP 14% ▲1 NDP 5% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 42% ▲7 PC 33% ▲3 OLP 13% ▼2 NDP 9% ▼8 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 48% ▼5 PC 26% ▼2 OLP 15% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 60% ▲11 PC 22% ▼6 OLP 11% ▼7 NDP 3% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
60+ years old 45% ▲6 PC 32% ▲1 OLP 16% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com



Government approval 44% ▲3 Approve 31% ▼11 Disapprove 25% ▲8 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 44% 31%2025-06-04 41% 42%2025-02-25 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 44% ▲3 Positive / favourable 33% ▼7 Negative / unfavourable 23% ▲4 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 44% 33%2025-06-04 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 47% ▲4 Neutral / Unsure 28% ▼5 Positive / favourable 25% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 28% 25%2025-06-04 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 36% Neutral / Unsure 33% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 31% ▼2 Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 31% 33%2025-06-04 33% 31%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 53% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure 24% Positive / favourable 23% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-06-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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