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About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in February 2025, with a middle field date of February 25, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (February 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs four points from 41% to 45%, the Ontario Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP loses five points from 21% to 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 45% ▲4 PC 29% ▲1 OLP 16% ▼5 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 40% ▲41 PC 38% ▲39 OLP 17% ▲18 NDP 3% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
GTHA 52% ▲53 PC 26% ▲27 OLP 14% ▲15 NDP 3% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 42% ▲43 PC 27% ▲28 OLP 14% ▲15 NDP 10% ▲11 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 36% ▲37 PC 34% ▲35 OLP 19% ▲20 NDP 3% ▲4 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 38% PC 31% OLP 19% NDP 6% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Male voters 51% PC 28% OLP 13% NDP 4% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 35% PC 30% OLP 17% GPO 15% NDP Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 53% PC 28% OLP 14% NDP 2% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 49% PC 28% OLP 18% NDP 3% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
60+ years old 39% PC 31% OLP 17% NDP 2% GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com


Preferred Premier 40% Ford 25% Crombie 15% Stiles 14% Don't know 6% Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Crombie ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 42% Disapprove 41% Approve 17% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 41% Positive / favourable 40% Negative / unfavourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 43% Neutral / Unsure 33% Positive / favourable 24% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 36% Neutral / Unsure 33% Positive / favourable 31% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 33% 31%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 55% Neutral / Unsure 24% Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-02-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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