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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Léger


This Ontario poll was fielded by Léger in October 2025, with a middle field date of October 16, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,052 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (May 2025), the Ontario PC Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Ontario Liberal Party remains stable at 32%, and the Ontario NDP loses two points from 15% to 13% (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 44% ▼1 PC 32% OLP 13% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 40% ▼3 PC 38% OLP 13% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲3 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
GTA 43% ▼4 PC 38% ▲5 OLP 11% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲4 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Hamilton-Niagara 47% ▲5 PC 22% ▼5 OLP 17% ▼5 NDP 9% ▲2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 44% PC 26% OLP 15% ▼3 NDP 12% ▲4 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 43% ▼6 PC 37% ▲3 OLP 17% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
North 58% ▲4 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 7% ▼4 NDP 1% ▼6 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▲1 PC 33% OLP 15% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Male voters 45% ▼3 PC 32% ▲2 OLP 12% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲3 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▲1 PC 35% OLP 13% ▼6 NDP 11% ▲5 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
35-54 years old 45% ▲1 PC 26% ▼3 OLP 17% ▲1 NDP 7% ▲1 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
55+ years old 48% ▼3 PC 35% ▲3 OLP 11% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲2 GPO Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com





Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 45% ▼2 Positive / favourable 42% Negative / unfavourable 13% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 45% 42%2025-10-16 47% 42%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 35% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 35% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 30% ▼3 Positive / favourable Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 30% 35%2025-10-16 33% 33%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 42% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 29% ▲5 Neutral / Unsure 29% ▼4 Positive / favourable Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 29% 42%2025-10-16 33% 43%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 42% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure 32% Negative / unfavourable 26% ▼2 Positive / favourable Léger Ontario poll | 2025-10-16 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 26% 32%2025-10-16 28% 32%2025-05-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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