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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Abacus Data


This Ontario poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 17, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,037 Ontario respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (July 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs three points from 50% to 53% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Ontario NDP is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 53% ▲3 PC 27% ▼1 OLP 12% ▼1 NDP 5% ▼1 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 55% ▲56 PC 27% ▲28 OLP 9% ▲10 NDP 5% ▲6 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
GTHA 53% ▲54 PC 30% ▲31 OLP 8% ▲9 NDP 4% ▲5 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Southwestern Ontario 54% ▲55 PC 21% ▲22 OLP 14% ▲15 NDP 6% ▲7 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com

Eastern Ontario 46% ▲47 PC 30% ▲31 OLP 15% ▲16 NDP 7% ▲8 GPO Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com



Preferred Premier 48% ▲2 Ford 18% ▼2 Crombie 18% ▲1 Don't know 12% Stiles 4% Schreiner Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Preferred Premier tracker 18% 48% 12% 18%2025-08-17 20% 46% 12% 17%2025-07-13 25% 40% 15% 14%2025-02-25 ◻︎Crombie ◻︎Ford ◻︎Stiles ◻︎Schreiner ◻︎Don't know 

Government approval 48% ▲4 Approve 30% ▼2 Disapprove 22% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 48% 30%2025-08-17 44% 32%2025-07-13 44% 31%2025-06-04 41% 42%2025-02-25 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 46% Positive / favourable 32% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 22% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 46% 32%2025-08-17 46% 33%2025-07-13 44% 33%2025-06-04 41% 40%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 46% ▼2 Neutral / Unsure 27% ▲3 Negative / unfavourable 27% ▼1 Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 27% 27%2025-08-17 28% 24%2025-07-13 28% 25%2025-06-04 33% 24%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 37% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure 33% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 30% ▼3 Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 30% 33%2025-08-17 33% 32%2025-07-13 31% 33%2025-06-04 33% 31%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 54% Neutral / Unsure 23% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 23% ▼2 Positive / favourable Abacus Data Ontario poll | 2025-08-17 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 23% 23%2025-08-17 25% 21%2025-07-13 24% 23%2025-06-04 24% 21%2025-02-25 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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