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Ontario

About this Ontario poll from Liaison Strategies


This Ontario poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2025, with a middle field date of May 7, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,000 Ontario respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (February 2025), the Ontario PC Party climbs three points from 43% to 46% (variation similar to moe), the Ontario Liberal Party climbs four points from 32% to 36%, and the Ontario NDP loses five points from 18% to 13%.

You can read more information on this poll here.

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Ontario 46% ▲3 PC 36% ▲4 OLP 13% ▼5 NDP 2% ▼3 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com


Breakdown by region

Toronto 42% ▲1 OLP 36% ▼1 PC 17% NDP 4% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
GTA 48% ▼2 PC 39% ▲1 OLP 9% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Central Ontario 47% ▲4 PC 28% ▲10 OLP 15% ▼16 NDP 3% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com

Southwestern Ontario 55% ▲7 PC 28% ▲7 OLP 11% ▼11 NDP 2% ▼4 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Eastern Ontario 48% ▲5 PC 32% ▲7 OLP Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
North 43% ▲12 OLP 33% ▼4 PC 16% ▼9 NDP 3% ▲1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 45% ▲3 PC 38% ▲3 OLP 14% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼1 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Male voters 47% PC 33% ▲6 OLP 12% ▼6 NDP 3% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 43% ▲7 PC 29% ▲1 OLP 22% ▼6 NDP 2% ▼3 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
35-49 years old 48% ▲3 PC 34% ▲4 OLP 13% ▼5 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com

50-64 years old 47% ▼2 PC 40% ▲7 OLP 9% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼2 GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
65+ years old 45% ▼1 PC 42% ▲6 OLP 7% ▼5 NDP 2% GPO Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com





Impression / favourability of Doug Ford 44% Positive / favourable 41% Negative / unfavourable 15% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Doug Ford 44% 41%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Marit Stiles 45% Neutral / Unsure 29% Positive / favourable 26% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Marit Stiles 29% 26%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Bonnie Crombie 37% Neutral / Unsure 33% Positive / favourable 30% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Bonnie Crombie 33% 30%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Mike Schreiner 62% Neutral / Unsure 21% Positive / favourable 17% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies Ontario poll | 2025-05-07 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mike Schreiner 21% 17%2025-05-07 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable


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