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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 30, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (May 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 32%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 40% ▼1 LPC 32% CPC 15% ▼1 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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195 LPC 108 CPC 24 BQ 15 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 42 24 11 1 ON 70 49 3 MB 8 6 SK 9 5 AB 18 17 2 BC 19 15 8 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll May 30, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 63% ▲8 LPC 20% ▼9 CPC 11% NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Quebec 37% ▲1 LPC 28% ▲1 BQ 23% ▼3 CPC 9% NDP 1% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Ontario 42% ▼4 LPC 37% ▲5 CPC 15% ▼3 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 2% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% CPC 39% ▲6 LPC 9% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 3% ▼5 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Alberta 37% ▼3 CPC 31% ▼5 LPC 18% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲3 GPC 4% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 34% ▲2 LPC 32% ▼2 CPC 28% ▲2 NDP 4% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 48% ▲2 LPC 22% ▼4 CPC 18% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 5% ▲3 PPC 3% ▲1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲4 CPC 31% ▼5 LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲1 BQ 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 31% ▲1 NDP 26% ▼5 LPC 24% ▼4 CPC 6% ▲1 BQ 6% ▲4 PPC 3% ▲2 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 39% ▼3 LPC 37% ▲3 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 7% ▲1 BQ 5% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 41% ▲8 CPC 37% ▼8 LPC 9% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% ▲10 LPC 28% ▼6 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Government approval 55% ▼2 Approve 39% ▲1 Disapprove 6% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 55% 39%2026-05-30 57% 38%2026-05-23 59% 35%2026-05-17 56% 36%2026-05-10 58% 34%2026-05-03 60% 32%2026-04-26 62% 31%2026-04-19 62% 29%2026-04-12 60% 29%2026-04-05 61% 32%2026-03-29 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼2 Positive / favourable 12% ▲2 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 51%2026-05-30 39% 51%2026-05-23 38% 52%2026-05-17 36% 51%2026-05-10 36% 51%2026-05-03 39% 52%2026-04-26 37% 53%2026-04-19 36% 53%2026-04-12 37% 51%2026-04-05 38% 50%2026-03-29 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 54% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure 25% ▼1 Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-30 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 25% 21%2026-05-30 26% 21%2026-05-23 25% 21%2026-05-17 28% 23%2026-05-10 27% 22%2026-05-03 25% 21%2026-04-26 25% 21%2026-04-19 23% 21%2026-04-12 24% 20%2026-04-05 23% 18%2026-03-29 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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