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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 23, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (May 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 43% to 41% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party climbs five points from 11% to 16%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼2 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 16% ▲5 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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207 LPC 94 CPC 24 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 41 24 12 1 ON 94 24 3 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 18 17 2 BC 17 17 8 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll May 23, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▲1 LPC 29% CPC 11% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Quebec 36% ▼1 LPC 27% BQ 26% CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼5 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 18% ▲6 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 45% ▲11 CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 11% ▼2 NDP 8% ▼3 PPC 3% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Alberta 40% ▼2 CPC 36% ▲1 LPC 17% ▲9 NDP 3% GPC 2% ▼4 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 34% ▲1 CPC 32% ▼7 LPC 26% ▲8 NDP 4% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▼3 LPC 26% CPC 16% ▲6 NDP 7% BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Male voters 40% ▲2 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 31% ▼9 LPC 30% ▲12 NDP 28% CPC 5% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% ▼1 LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 12% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 4% ▲1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 45% ▼1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 7% BQ 3% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 46% ▲1 LPC 34% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 7% BQ 1% ▼2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Government approval 57% ▼2 Approve 38% ▲3 Disapprove 5% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 57% 38%2026-05-23 59% 35%2026-05-17 56% 36%2026-05-10 58% 34%2026-05-03 60% 32%2026-04-26 62% 31%2026-04-19 62% 29%2026-04-12 60% 29%2026-04-05 61% 32%2026-03-29 63% 32%2026-03-22 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 39% ▲1 Positive / favourable 10% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 51%2026-05-23 38% 52%2026-05-17 36% 51%2026-05-10 36% 51%2026-05-03 39% 52%2026-04-26 37% 53%2026-04-19 36% 53%2026-04-12 37% 51%2026-04-05 38% 50%2026-03-29 38% 52%2026-03-22 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 53% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 26% ▲1 Positive / favourable 21% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-05-23 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 26% 21%2026-05-23 25% 21%2026-05-17 28% 23%2026-05-10 27% 22%2026-05-03 25% 21%2026-04-26 25% 21%2026-04-19 23% 21%2026-04-12 24% 20%2026-04-05 23% 18%2026-03-29 22% 17%2026-03-22 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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