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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 6, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,592 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (August 2025), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party climbs two points from 36% to 38% (variation similar to moe), and the Bloc Québécois is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 47% ▲1 LPC 38% ▲2 CPC 6% ▼1 BQ 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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215 LPC 98 CPC 21 BQ 8 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 74 46 1 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 21 14 2 BC 36 6 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll September 6, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 70% ▲2 LPC 23% ▼3 CPC 6% ▲3 NDP Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% ▲3 LPC 26% ▲5 CPC 26% ▼5 BQ 4% NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▼3 LPC 42% ▲3 CPC 6% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 47% ▼2 CPC 39% ▲4 LPC 9% ▼2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Alberta 49% ▼4 CPC 39% ▲6 LPC 5% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 53% ▲3 LPC 39% CPC 7% ▼1 NDP Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 52% ▲2 LPC 32% CPC 6% NDP 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▲3 CPC 42% ▼1 LPC 5% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 8% ▲2 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 45% ▲5 CPC 38% ▼2 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 54% ▲4 LPC 33% CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Government approval 53% ▼3 Approve 37% ▲4 Disapprove 10% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 53% 37%2025-09-06 56% 33%2025-08-03 58% 29%2025-07-05 28% 64%2024-09-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Government satisfaction 51% ▼3 Satisfied 38% ▲4 Dissatisfied 11% ▼1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2025-09-06 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 51% 38%2025-09-06 54% 34%2025-08-03 55% 33%2025-07-05 37% 57%2025-03-09 23% 72%2024-12-21 26% 69%2024-11-30 27% 68%2024-11-02 27% 65%2024-09-28 28% 65%2024-08-24 29% 66%2024-07-27 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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