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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 3, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,617 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (July 2025), the Liberal Party loses two points from 48% to 46% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 46% ▼2 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 7% ▲1 BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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216 LPC 90 CPC 27 BQ 8 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 10 QC 41 27 9 1 ON 90 30 1 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 11 3 AB 26 9 2 BC 32 9 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll August 3, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 68% ▲5 LPC 26% ▼7 CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Quebec 39% ▼5 LPC 31% ▲5 BQ 21% ▼1 CPC 4% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Ontario 52% ▼1 LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 5% NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 49% CPC 35% LPC 11% ▲1 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Alberta 53% ▲5 CPC 33% ▼6 LPC 8% NDP 5% ▲2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 50% ▲4 LPC 39% ▲2 CPC 8% ▼3 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▼2 LPC 32% ▲1 CPC 8% ▲8 BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Male voters 43% ▼1 LPC 40% ▲1 CPC 6% ▲6 BQ 6% NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 47% ▲4 LPC 38% ▼4 CPC 6% ▼1 NDP 5% ▲5 BQ 4% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 40% ▼1 LPC 40% CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 6% ▲6 BQ 3% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 50% ▼6 LPC 33% ▲5 CPC 9% ▲9 BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▼2 Approve 33% ▲4 Disapprove 11% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 56% 33%2025-08-03 58% 29%2025-07-05 28% 64%2024-09-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Government satisfaction 54% ▼1 Satisfied 34% ▲1 Dissatisfied 12% Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2025-08-03 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 54% 34%2025-08-03 55% 33%2025-07-05 37% 57%2025-03-09 23% 72%2024-12-21 26% 69%2024-11-30 27% 68%2024-11-02 27% 65%2024-09-28 28% 65%2024-08-24 29% 66%2024-07-27 29% 65%2024-06-22 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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