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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in September 2026, with a middle field date of September 13, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (September 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼1 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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229 LPC 78 CPC 18 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 9 1 QC 49 18 10 1 ON 98 20 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 9 5 AB 28 7 2 BC 30 7 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll September 13, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 55% ▲2 LPC 22% ▼1 CPC 15% NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% LPC 25% ▼1 BQ 18% CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Ontario 48% ▲1 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 15% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 42% ▼3 CPC 37% ▲2 LPC 15% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% CPC 30% ▲1 LPC 13% ▲1 NDP 4% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 44% ▲1 LPC 30% CPC 21% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▲1 LPC 25% CPC 16% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲2 LPC 37% ▼2 CPC 13% NDP 5% BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 35% LPC 28% CPC 24% NDP 8% ▲2 BQ 3% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 44% ▲2 LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 13% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 44% LPC 33% ▼2 CPC 13% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 56% LPC 27% ▼1 CPC 7% NDP 6% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Government approval 65% ▼1 Approve 28% ▲1 Disapprove 7% Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 65% 28%2026-09-13 66% 27%2026-09-06 66% 26%2026-08-30 64% 27%2026-08-23 59% 31%2026-08-16 60% 31%2026-08-09 57% 33%2026-08-01 57% 34%2026-07-26 56% 35%2026-07-19 57% 35%2026-07-12 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 51% Negative / unfavourable 35% ▼1 Positive / favourable 14% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 51%2026-09-13 36% 51%2026-09-06 34% 54%2026-08-30 33% 55%2026-08-23 34% 54%2026-08-16 35% 53%2026-08-09 34% 53%2026-08-01 34% 52%2026-07-26 36% 51%2026-07-19 36% 50%2026-07-12 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 38% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 32% ▲1 Positive / favourable 30% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-09-13 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 32% 30%2026-09-13 31% 30%2026-09-06 30% 31%2026-08-30 30% 31%2026-08-23 31% 30%2026-08-16 31% 29%2026-08-09 30% 30%2026-08-01 30% 29%2026-07-26 29% 27%2026-07-19 28% 28%2026-07-12 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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