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About this Nanos Research federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Nanos Research from August 21, 2026 to September 11, 2026 (four-week rolling poll). The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,014 Canadian respondents via live telephone interviews.

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±3.1%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

The regional breakdown of this poll was not made publicly available.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Nanos Research (September 2026), the Liberal Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 31%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 48% ▲1 LPC 31% CPC 11% NDP 5% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-09-11 338Canada.com
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268 LPC 55 CPC 13 NDP 6 BQ 1 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 62 9 6 1 ON 119 3 MB 7 5 2 SK 8 5 1 AB 20 15 2 BC 30 7 5 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Nanos Research federal poll September 11, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Nanos Research




Preferred PM 56% ▲1 Carney 21% Poilievre 12% ▼1 Don't know 5% ▲1 Lewis 2% ▼1 May 2% Blanchet 2% Bernier Nanos Research federal poll | 2026-09-11 338Canada.com
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Nanos Research Preferred PM tracker 56% 21%2026-09-11 55% 21%2026-09-04 51% 21%2026-08-28 50% 20%2026-08-21 53% 18%2026-08-14 54% 18%2026-08-07 56% 18%2026-07-31 54% 18%2026-07-24 52% 22%2026-07-17 52% 23%2026-07-10 ◻︎Carney ◻︎Others ◻︎Don't know ◻︎Poilievre
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