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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2026, with a middle field date of August 24, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,022 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.2%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (August 2026), the Liberal Party climbs three points from 42% to 45%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 35%, and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲3 LPC 35% CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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207 LPC 100 CPC 26 BQ 8 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 7 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 8 2 QC 44 26 8 ON 93 26 2 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 35 1 1 BC 28 11 3 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll August 24, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 58% ▲10 LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 10% NDP Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Quebec 45% ▲8 LPC 34% ▼1 BQ 16% ▼2 CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼3 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲1 LPC 36% ▼1 CPC 9% ▼1 NDP 3% ▲1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 48% ▲2 CPC 36% LPC 13% ▼2 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▼2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Alberta 61% ▲3 CPC 26% ▼4 LPC 10% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲3 LPC 37% ▲1 CPC 14% NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 46% ▲4 LPC 33% ▼1 CPC 11% NDP 7% BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Male voters 44% ▲3 LPC 37% CPC 8% ▼1 BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 37% ▲2 LPC 36% ▲1 CPC 17% ▼2 NDP 5% ▲4 BQ 4% ▼4 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 40% ▲5 CPC 34% LPC 12% ▼3 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 4% ▼1 GPC 3% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 42% ▲1 LPC 37% CPC 9% ▲2 NDP 8% ▼2 BQ 2% ▲1 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 56% ▲5 LPC 30% ▼4 CPC 9% BQ 3% NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▲4 Approve 29% ▼2 Disapprove 15% ▼2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 56% 29%2026-08-24 52% 31%2026-08-10 52% 32%2026-07-26 52% 32%2026-07-13 54% 31%2026-06-29 55% 30%2026-06-15 52% 31%2026-05-31 57% 28%2026-05-17 57% 28%2026-05-03 54% 29%2026-04-19 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 53% ▲2 Positive / favourable 28% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 19% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 53% 28%2026-08-24 51% 31%2026-08-10 49% 32%2026-07-26 50% 31%2026-07-13 50% 31%2026-06-29 51% 30%2026-06-15 51% 30%2026-05-31 56% 26%2026-05-17 54% 28%2026-05-03 51% 29%2026-04-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 46% Negative / unfavourable 35% Positive / favourable 19% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 35% 46%2026-08-24 35% 46%2026-08-10 37% 43%2026-07-26 37% 44%2026-07-13 38% 43%2026-06-29 38% 44%2026-06-15 37% 45%2026-05-31 38% 44%2026-05-17 35% 45%2026-05-03 37% 44%2026-04-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 57% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 17% ▲1 Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-08-24 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 17% 26%2026-08-24 16% 26%2026-08-10 16% 28%2026-07-26 16% 27%2026-07-13 17% 27%2026-06-29 18% 26%2026-06-15 17% 26%2026-05-31 17% 26%2026-05-17 18% 26%2026-05-03 15% 26%2026-04-19 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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