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About this Liaison Strategies federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Liaison Strategies in July 2026, with a middle field date of July 5, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,526 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Liaison Strategies (June 2026), the Liberal Party loses two points from 43% to 41% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 14%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 41% ▼2 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 14% NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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184 LPC 120 CPC 21 BQ 16 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 6 4 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 75 43 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 28 7 2 BC 21 14 7 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Liaison Strategies federal poll July 5, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Liaison Strategies




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 47% ▼2 LPC 32% CPC 12% NDP 3% GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 42% LPC 25% BQ 22% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 46% ▼2 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 12% NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 44% CPC 31% ▲1 LPC 16% ▼2 NDP 3% GPC 3% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▲3 CPC 30% ▼3 LPC 13% NDP 3% PPC 2% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 38% ▼1 LPC 35% ▲1 CPC 23% ▼2 NDP 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 45% LPC 30% CPC 15% NDP 7% BQ 1% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲3 CPC 38% ▼2 LPC 12% ▼1 NDP 5% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 33% ▼2 LPC 32% ▲3 CPC 23% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 41% ▲1 LPC 39% CPC 12% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 41% ▼2 LPC 39% ▲1 CPC 10% ▼2 NDP 6% ▲2 BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 57% ▲3 LPC 30% CPC 8% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% PPC 1% GPC Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Government approval 56% ▼2 Approve 36% ▲1 Disapprove 8% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Liaison Strategies Government approval tracker 56% 36%2026-07-05 58% 35%2026-06-27 58% 36%2026-06-20 57% 36%2026-06-13 57% 37%2026-06-06 55% 39%2026-05-30 57% 38%2026-05-23 59% 35%2026-05-17 56% 36%2026-05-10 58% 34%2026-05-03 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 48% ▼2 Negative / unfavourable 39% ▲2 Positive / favourable 13% Neutral / Unsure Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 39% 48%2026-07-05 37% 50%2026-06-27 37% 50%2026-06-20 39% 47%2026-06-13 37% 49%2026-06-06 37% 51%2026-05-30 39% 51%2026-05-23 38% 52%2026-05-17 36% 51%2026-05-10 36% 51%2026-05-03 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 45% Neutral / Unsure 28% Positive / favourable 27% Negative / unfavourable Liaison Strategies federal poll | 2026-07-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 28% 27%2026-07-05 28% 27%2026-06-27 28% 26%2026-06-20 28% 25%2026-06-13 26% 23%2026-06-06 25% 21%2026-05-30 26% 21%2026-05-23 25% 21%2026-05-17 28% 23%2026-05-10 27% 22%2026-05-03 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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