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About this Pallas Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Pallas Data in May 2026, with a middle field date of May 24, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,295 Canadian respondents via IVR technology (automated calls).

The margin of error [moe] for this poll is estimated at ±2.7%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Pallas Data (January 2026), the Liberal Party climbs five points from 40% to 45%, the Conservative Party loses five points from 37% to 32%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 11%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 45% ▲5 LPC 32% ▼5 CPC 11% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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237 LPC 70 CPC 25 BQ 9 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 43 25 9 1 ON 108 11 2 1 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 20 15 2 BC 35 5 2 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Pallas Data federal poll May 24, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Pallas Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 51% ▲2 LPC 35% ▲4 CPC 10% ▼7 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Quebec 41% ▲2 LPC 28% ▼2 BQ 19% ▼2 CPC 10% ▲5 NDP 2% ▼2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Ontario 52% ▲8 LPC 31% ▼9 CPC 11% NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 55% CPC 30% ▼3 LPC 10% ▼1 NDP 2% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Alberta 47% ▼7 CPC 36% ▲15 LPC 12% ▼5 NDP 1% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% ▲6 LPC 32% ▼7 CPC 14% ▼2 NDP 5% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 50% ▲4 LPC 27% ▼2 CPC 12% NDP 6% ▼2 BQ 3% ▼1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Male voters 41% ▲8 LPC 37% ▼9 CPC 10% NDP 8% ▲1 BQ 3% GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 39% ▼2 CPC 28% ▼8 LPC 16% ▲1 NDP 10% ▲6 BQ 5% ▲2 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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35-49 years old 42% ▲5 LPC 32% ▼6 CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 9% ▲1 BQ 2% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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50-64 years old 53% ▲14 LPC 31% ▼6 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼5 BQ 2% ▼3 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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65+ years old 60% ▲12 LPC 25% ▼8 CPC 8% NDP 3% ▼5 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Government approval 50% ▲2 Approve 37% ▼3 Disapprove 13% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Pallas Data federal poll | 2026-05-24 338Canada.com
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Pallas Data Government approval tracker 50% 37%2026-05-24 48% 40%2026-01-11 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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