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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in April 2026, with a middle field date of April 5, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,680 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (March 2026), the Liberal Party remains stable at 44%, the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), and the New Democratic Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 44% LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 8% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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201 LPC 115 CPC 21 BQ 5 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 4 3 PEI 4 NS 9 2 NB 6 4 QC 45 21 11 1 ON 83 39 MB 7 6 1 SK 13 1 AB 29 6 2 BC 34 7 1 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Abacus Data federal poll April 5, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 45% ▼16 LPC 36% ▲6 CPC 11% ▲11 GPC 6% NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Quebec 44% ▲3 LPC 27% ▼1 BQ 24% ▲2 CPC 3% ▼1 NDP 2% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Ontario 49% ▲2 LPC 39% ▼1 CPC 7% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% CPC 28% ▼8 LPC 15% ▲9 NDP 1% ▼4 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Alberta 56% ▼2 CPC 33% ▲8 LPC 11% ▼1 NDP 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 47% LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 14% ▲1 NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% ▲1 LPC 37% ▲2 CPC 10% ▼1 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Male voters 45% LPC 38% ▼2 CPC 7% ▲1 NDP 6% BQ 2% ▲1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 44% ▲1 LPC 31% ▼6 CPC 16% ▲4 NDP 6% ▲4 GPC 2% ▼3 BQ Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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30-44 years old 45% ▲5 CPC 32% ▼3 LPC 12% ▼2 NDP 5% BQ 4% GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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45-59 years old 45% ▲8 LPC 40% ▼6 CPC 6% BQ 6% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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60+ years old 52% ▼5 LPC 35% ▲6 CPC 8% BQ 2% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Government approval 54% Approve 30% Disapprove 16% Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Abacus Data Government approval tracker 54% 30%2026-04-05 54% 30%2026-03-22 56% 28%2026-03-08 52% 29%2026-02-08 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 44% 34%2025-11-06 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 51% Positive / favourable 29% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 20% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 51% 29%2026-04-05 51% 30%2026-03-22 53% 28%2026-03-08 50% 30%2026-02-21 51% 29%2026-02-08 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 45% 33%2025-11-06 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 37% ▼2 Positive / favourable 19% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 37% 44%2026-04-05 39% 43%2026-03-22 36% 44%2026-03-08 37% 44%2026-02-21 36% 43%2026-02-08 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Avi Lewis 57% Neutral / Unsure 26% Negative / unfavourable 17% Positive / favourable Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-04-05 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Avi Lewis 17% 26%2026-04-05 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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