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About this Léger federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Léger in March 2026, with a middle field date of March 29, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,618 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Léger (March 2026), the Liberal Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), the Conservative Party is down one point (variation smaller than moe), and the Bloc Québécois climbs two points from 5% to 7% (variation similar to moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 48% ▼1 LPC 34% ▼1 CPC 7% ▲2 BQ 6% ▲1 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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236 LPC 82 CPC 22 BQ 2 NDP 1 GPC 172 seats NL 6 1 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 49 22 6 1 ON 111 11 MB 8 6 SK 9 5 AB 22 14 1 BC 24 18 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Léger federal poll March 29, 2026 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Léger




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 59% ▼9 LPC 35% ▲10 CPC 4% ▲2 GPC 2% ▼2 NDP Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Quebec 46% ▼2 LPC 31% ▲6 BQ 15% ▼5 CPC 5% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Ontario 54% ▲2 LPC 34% ▼2 CPC 7% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 46% ▼3 CPC 44% ▲5 LPC 8% NDP 1% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Alberta 51% ▼5 CPC 37% LPC 6% ▲2 NDP 1% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 45% ▲8 CPC 42% ▼8 LPC 7% NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 51% ▼2 LPC 31% CPC 6% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Male voters 45% ▼1 LPC 37% ▼3 CPC 6% ▲3 NDP 3% GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 42% ▼1 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 10% ▲3 NDP 4% ▼1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 51% ▲10 CPC 38% ▼4 LPC 7% ▲2 NDP 4% ▼2 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 57% ▼2 LPC 27% ▼3 CPC 4% ▲2 NDP 2% ▲1 GPC Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Government approval 58% ▼3 Approve 33% ▲2 Disapprove 9% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Léger Government approval tracker 58% 33%2026-03-29 61% 31%2026-03-01 59% 34%2026-01-25 51% 38%2025-11-29 52% 39%2025-11-01 47% 41%2025-10-04 53% 37%2025-09-06 56% 33%2025-08-03 58% 29%2025-07-05 28% 64%2024-09-21 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Government satisfaction 57% ▼2 Satisfied 34% ▲1 Dissatisfied 9% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Léger federal poll | 2026-03-29 338Canada.com
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Léger Government satisfaction tracker 57% 34%2026-03-29 59% 33%2026-03-01 58% 35%2026-01-25 49% 40%2025-11-29 50% 41%2025-11-01 46% 42%2025-10-04 51% 38%2025-09-06 54% 34%2025-08-03 55% 33%2025-07-05 37% 57%2025-03-09 ◻︎Satisfied ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Dissatisfied
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