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About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in January 2026, with a middle field date of January 25, 2026. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=2,498 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.0%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (January 2026), the Liberal Party climbs two points from 41% to 43% (variation similar to moe), the Conservative Party remains stable at 39%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 8%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% ▲2 LPC 39% CPC 8% NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▲1 LPC 35% ▼3 CPC 9% ▲3 NDP 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Quebec 41% ▲3 LPC 27% ▼5 BQ 24% ▼1 CPC 4% ▲3 NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Ontario 46% ▲2 LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 8% NDP 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 53% ▲3 CPC 33% ▼3 LPC 12% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Alberta 56% ▼2 CPC 31% ▼1 LPC 8% NDP 4% ▲3 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
British Columbia 45% ▲2 LPC 37% CPC 11% ▼3 NDP 6% ▲1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com


Breakdown by gender

Female voters 45% ▲2 LPC 34% ▲2 CPC 10% ▲1 NDP 5% ▼3 BQ 3% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Male voters 43% ▼2 CPC 40% LPC 7% ▲2 BQ 6% NDP 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 43% ▲9 LPC 35% ▼11 CPC 10% ▲2 NDP 5% ▲2 BQ 3% ▼4 GPC 3% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 43% ▲4 CPC 38% ▲1 LPC 10% NDP 5% ▼1 BQ 2% GPC 2% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 42% ▲6 CPC 38% ▼3 LPC 9% NDP 7% ▼2 BQ 2% GPC 2% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
60+ years old 50% LPC 35% ▼1 CPC 7% ▼1 BQ 4% NDP 3% ▲2 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com



Government approval 54% ▲7 Approve 31% ▼3 Disapprove 15% ▼4 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 54% 31%2026-01-25 47% 34%2026-01-12 47% 35%2025-12-07 47% 33%2025-11-30 48% 32%2025-11-24 44% 34%2025-11-06 47% 34%2025-10-27 48% 32%2025-10-12 46% 31%2025-09-29 50% 30%2025-09-15 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 53% ▲7 Positive / favourable 30% ▼3 Negative / unfavourable 17% ▼4 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 53% 30%2026-01-25 46% 33%2026-01-12 45% 35%2025-12-07 45% 31%2025-11-24 45% 33%2025-11-06 46% 32%2025-10-27 46% 31%2025-10-12 45% 31%2025-09-29 48% 30%2025-09-15 45% 32%2025-08-31 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 44% ▼4 Negative / unfavourable 38% ▲3 Positive / favourable 18% ▲1 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2026-01-25 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 38% 44%2026-01-25 35% 48%2026-01-14 35% 48%2026-01-12 39% 43%2025-12-07 39% 42%2025-11-24 37% 44%2025-11-06 39% 42%2025-10-27 39% 42%2025-10-12 40% 42%2025-09-29 40% 41%2025-09-15 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



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