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About this Angus Reid federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by The Angus Reid Institute in September 2025, with a middle field date of September 21, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,570 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.5%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Angus Reid (September 2025), the Conservative Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe), the Liberal Party remains stable at 38%, and the New Democratic Party remains stable at 10%.

You can read more information on this poll here.


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Canada 41% ▲1 CPC 38% LPC 10% NDP 8% BQ 2% GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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155 CPC 142 LPC 32 BQ 12 NDP 2 GPC 172 seats NL 5 2 PEI 4 NS 11 NB 7 3 QC 36 32 9 1 ON 61 57 3 1 MB 7 5 2 SK 13 1 AB 36 1 BC 28 10 4 1 YT NWT NU 338Canada seat projections 338Canada seat projection estimate Based on Angus Reid federal poll September 21, 2025 🍁
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Note: Single-poll projections can be fun thought experiments, but individual polls can swing wildly and occasionally produce surprising seat counts. For a clearer picture of the race, always trust the average.

Past polls from Angus Reid




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 53% ▲2 LPC 36% ▼2 CPC 9% ▲1 NDP 2% GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Quebec 35% ▼2 LPC 33% ▲1 BQ 24% ▲3 CPC 5% ▼2 NDP 2% GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Ontario 44% ▲1 LPC 42% ▼1 CPC 10% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Manitoba/Saskatchewan 57% CPC 28% ▼1 LPC 14% ▲1 NDP 1% GPC 1% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Alberta 65% ▲3 CPC 21% ▼4 LPC 11% ▲1 NDP 2% ▲2 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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British Columbia 42% ▲1 CPC 36% ▼2 LPC 16% ▲1 NDP 4% ▲1 GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by gender

Female voters 43% LPC 34% CPC 13% ▲2 NDP 7% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Male voters 48% ▲2 CPC 33% ▼1 LPC 8% BQ 7% ▼1 NDP 2% GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Breakdown by age group

18-34 years old 33% ▼1 LPC 32% ▼1 CPC 23% ▲2 NDP 6% BQ 3% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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35-54 years old 46% ▲2 CPC 32% LPC 11% NDP 7% BQ 3% GPC 1% PPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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55+ years old 44% LPC 41% ▲1 CPC 9% BQ 4% ▼1 NDP 1% GPC Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Government approval 50% ▼1 Approve 41% Disapprove 9% ▲1 Neutral/Unsure Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Angus Reid Government approval tracker 50% 41%2025-09-21 51% 41%2025-09-02 22% 74%2024-12-29 29% 67%2024-10-25 28% 67%2024-09-01 28% 67%2024-06-16 28% 66%2024-04-21 32% 63%2024-03-02 32% 64%2024-01-17 30% 66%2023-11-28 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove
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Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 59% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 36% Positive / favourable 5% ▼1 Neutral / Unsure Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 36% 59%2025-09-21 36% 58%2025-09-02 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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Impression / favourability of Don Davies 59% ▼5 Neutral / Unsure 29% ▲2 Negative / unfavourable 12% ▲3 Positive / favourable Angus Reid federal poll | 2025-09-21 338Canada.com
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Impression / favourability tracker, Don Davies 12% 29%2025-09-21 9% 27%2025-09-02 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable
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