logo
Canada

About this Abacus Data federal poll


This federal poll was fielded by Abacus Data in August 2025, with a middle field date of August 4, 2025. The poll collected data from a total sample of n=1,686 Canadian respondents via an online panel.

The margin of error for an online sample is not applicable. For comparison purposes, a random sample of this size would yield a margin of error [moe] of ±2.4%, 19 times out of 20 (for entire sample only) around the 50%-mark.

If we compare these national numbers with the previous poll from Abacus Data (July 2025), the Liberal Party remains stable at 43%, the Conservative Party remains stable at 40%, and the New Democratic Party is up one point (variation smaller than moe).

You can read more information on this poll here.


Back to all federal polls
Canada 43% LPC 40% CPC 8% ▲1 NDP 6% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com

Past polls from Abacus Data




Breakdown by region

Atlantic Canada 50% ▼5 LPC 42% ▲4 CPC 4% ▲1 NDP 3% ▲2 PPC 1% ▼1 GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Quebec 44% LPC 25% ▼3 BQ 23% ▲1 CPC 6% ▲3 NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Ontario 48% ▲2 LPC 41% ▼2 CPC 7% NDP 3% GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com

Manitoba/Saskatchewan 52% CPC 34% ▲1 LPC 13% ▲2 NDP 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Alberta 62% ▲4 CPC 27% ▼2 LPC 8% NDP 2% PPC 1% GPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
British Columbia 39% ▼1 LPC 39% CPC 16% ▲2 NDP 3% ▼3 GPC 2% ▲2 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com


Breakdown by age group

18-29 years old 47% ▲5 LPC 31% ▼8 CPC 14% ▲4 NDP 3% ▼3 BQ 3% ▲1 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
30-44 years old 45% ▲4 CPC 38% ▼1 LPC 8% ▼1 NDP 4% ▼1 BQ 2% ▼2 GPC 2% ▲1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com

45-59 years old 44% ▲1 CPC 42% ▲3 LPC 10% ▲3 NDP 1% ▼4 BQ 1% ▼2 GPC 1% ▼1 PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
60+ years old 44% ▼5 LPC 38% ▲1 CPC 12% ▲4 BQ 3% ▼1 NDP 1% ▼1 GPC 1% PPC Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com



Government approval 50% ▼2 Approve 27% Disapprove 23% ▲2 Neutral/Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Abacus Data Government approval tracker 50% 27%2025-08-04 52% 27%2025-07-13 52% 25%2025-06-29 52% 25%2025-06-18 53% 23%2025-06-04 50% 24%2025-05-18 ◻︎Approve ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Disapprove


Impression / favourability of Mark Carney 48% ▼1 Positive / favourable 29% ▲1 Negative / unfavourable 23% Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Mark Carney 48% 29%2025-08-04 49% 28%2025-07-13 49% 28%2025-06-29 48% 29%2025-06-18 51% 27%2025-06-04 49% 29%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable

Impression / favourability of Pierre Poilievre 42% ▲4 Positive / favourable 41% ▼1 Negative / unfavourable 17% ▼3 Neutral / Unsure Abacus Data federal poll | 2025-08-04 338Canada.com
Impression / favourability tracker, Pierre Poilievre 42% 41%2025-08-04 38% 42%2025-07-13 39% 43%2025-06-29 41% 41%2025-06-18 39% 44%2025-06-04 40% 43%2025-05-18 ◻︎Positive/favourable ◻︎Neutral/Unsure ◻︎Negative/unfavourable



Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading…


P#934