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Québec solidaire

Latest update: October 6, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202612.4%
Current vote projection12.4% ± 1.0%
Current number of MNA's9
Current seat projection9 [10-10]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | October 6, 2026 15 10 5 11% 12% 13% 14% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2026 1.4 seat/% [9-9] 12% ± 1% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | October 6, 2026

10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 11.4% ▼ 12.4% ± 1.0% ▼ Max. 13.4% ▼ Probabilities % QS October 6, 2026

Seat projection | October 6, 2026

10 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Probabilities % QS October 6, 2026
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The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Mercier QS safe 2 MERC 3. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS safe 3 HOMA 4. Laurier-Dorion QS safe 4 LAUD 5. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS safe 5 SMSJ 6. Taschereau QS safe 6 TASH 7. Jean-Lesage QS safe 7 JLES 8. Rosemont QS likely 8 ROSE 9. Sherbrooke Toss up LIB/QS 9 SHER 10. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Toss up LIB/QS 10 SHSA 11. Maurice-Richard Toss up LIB/QS 11 MAUR 12. Verdun Leaning LIB 12 VERD 13. Viau Likely LIB 13 VIAU 14. Marie-Victorin Safe PQ 14 MVIC 15. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 15 MROU 16. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 16 CAML 17. Acadie Safe LIB 17 ACAD 18. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 18 NODG 19. Hull Safe LIB 19 HULL 20. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 20 BOUS 21. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 21 STLR 22. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 22 LVDR 23. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 23 WSTL 24. Rimouski Safe PQ 24 RIMO 25. Taillon Likely PQ 25 TAIL 26. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 26 LAPO 27. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 27 ANLR 28. Saint-François Leaning PQ 28 STFR 29. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Safe PQ 29 ROUY 30. Jean-Talon Leaning LIB 30 JTAL 31. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 31 PATR 32. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 32 JMVI 33. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 33 MARG 34. Montarville Toss up LIB/PQ 34 MTRV 35. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 35 STJR 36. Verchères Safe PQ 36 VERC 37. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB 37 STRO 38. Bertrand Safe PQ 38 BERT 39. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 39 MILI 40. La Pinière Safe LIB 40 LAPI 41. Trois-Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ 41 TRIV 42. Chambly Safe PQ 42 CHBY 43. Groulx Likely PQ 43 GROU 44. Deux-Montagnes Safe PQ 44 DMON 45. Borduas Safe PQ 45 BORD 46. Marquette Safe LIB 46 MARQ 47. Richmond Likely PQ 47 RCHM 48. Saint-Jean Safe PQ 48 STJN 49. Vachon Toss up LIB/PQ 49 VACH 50. Chomedey Safe LIB 50 CHOM 51. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 51 DAMC 52. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 52 CHIC 53. Pontiac Safe LIB 53 PONT 54. Fabre Safe LIB 54 FABR 55. Repentigny Safe PQ 55 REPE 56. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 56 VIMO 57. LaFontaine Safe LIB 57 LAFO 58. Orford Safe LIB 58 ORFO 59. L’Assomption Safe PQ 59 LASS 60. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 60 ABIE 61. Terrebonne Safe PQ 61 TERR 62. Charlesbourg PCQ safe 62 CHAR 63. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré PCQ safe 63 CXCB 64. Granby Safe PQ 64 GRBY 65. Berthier Safe PQ 65 BRTH 66. Sanguinet Safe PQ 66 SANG 67. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB 67 BROM 68. La Prairie Leaning LIB 68 LAPR 69. Saint-Hyacinthe Safe PQ 69 STHY 70. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 70 BALD 71. Châteauguay Likely LIB 71 CHAT 72. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 72 ABIO 73. Montmorency PCQ safe 73 MOMO 74. Les Plaines Safe PQ 74 LPLA 75. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 75 DAJO 76. Joliette Safe PQ 76 JOLI 77. Iberville Safe PQ 77 IBER 78. Masson Safe PQ 78 MASS 79. Chapleau Safe LIB 79 CHAP 80. Bonaventure Safe PQ 80 BONA 81. Chauveau PCQ safe 81 CHAU 82. Vanier-Les Rivières PCQ safe 82 VALR 83. Prévost Safe PQ 83 PREV 84. Bellefeuille Safe PQ 84 BELF 85. Louis-Hébert PCQ leaning 85 LHEB 86. Labelle Safe PQ 86 LABL 87. Lévis PCQ safe 87 LEVI 88. Mirabel Safe PQ 88 MIRA 89. Blainville Likely PQ 89 BLAI 90. Gatineau Safe LIB 90 GATI 91. Gaspé Safe PQ 91 GASP 92. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 92 RENE 93. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 93 VAUD 94. Jonquière Leaning PQ 94 JONQ 95. Rousseau Safe PQ 95 ROUS 96. La Peltrie PCQ safe 96 LAPE 97. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ 97 PAPI 98. Mégantic PCQ likely 98 MEGA 99. Argenteuil Likely PQ 99 ARGE 100. Drummond–Bois-Francs Toss up PQ/CPQ 100 DRUM 101. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 101 MLGL 102. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 102 LASJ 103. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Leaning PQ 103 LVSM 104. Maskinongé Likely PQ 104 MASK 105. Richelieu Safe PQ 105 RCHL 106. Nelligan Safe LIB 106 NELL 107. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Safe PQ 107 RDLT 108. Champlain Toss up PQ/CPQ 108 CHPN 109. Portneuf PCQ safe 109 PORT 110. Dubuc Likely PQ 110 DUBU 111. Beauharnois Safe PQ 111 BEAU 112. Soulanges Safe LIB 112 SOUL 113. Côte-du-Sud PCQ safe 113 CÔDS 114. Huntingdon Leaning PQ 114 HUNT 115. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 115 JACA 116. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ safe 116 CHCH 117. Ungava Likely PQ 117 UNGA 118. Roberval Likely PQ 118 ROBV 119. Arthabaska-L’Érable PCQ likely 119 ARTH 120. Duplessis Safe PQ 120 DUPL 121. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 121 MAMA 122. Nicolet-Bécancour PCQ safe 122 NICO 123. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 123 IDLM 124. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ safe 124 LOTF 125. Bellechasse PCQ safe 125 BELL 126. Beauce-Nord PCQ safe 126 BEAN 127. Beauce-Sud PCQ safe 127 BEAS 338Canada Quebec projection Updated October 6, 2026
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Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Alexandre Boulerice
 QS QS safe
2.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS safe
3.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS safe
4.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrés Fontecilla
 QS QS safe
5.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Roxane Milot
 QS QS safe
6.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS QS safe
7.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS QS safe
8.
Rosemont
Gisèle Pouhe Njall
 QS QS likely
9.
Sherbrooke
Stéphanie Vachon
 QS Toss up LIB/QS
10.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Benoit Clermont
 L Toss up LIB/QS
11.
Maurice-Richard
Nada Boumeftah
 L Toss up LIB/QS
12.
Verdun
Antoine Dionne Charest
 L Leaning LIB
13.
Viau
Frantz Benjamin
 L Likely LIB
14.
Marie-Victorin
Nicolas Marceau
 PQ Safe PQ