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Québec solidaire

Latest update: June 28, 2026
LeaderRuba Ghazal
National popular vote in 202215.4%
Current vote projection9.3% ± 1.8%
Current number of MNA's11
Current seat projection7 [3-9]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% Vote efficiency | QS 338Canada ©2023 0.8 seat/% [3-9] 9% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | June 28, 2026

5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 7.5% ▼ 9.3% ± 1.8% ▼ Max. 11.0% ▼ Probabilities % QS June 28, 2026

Seat projection | June 28, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% Min. 3 ▼ 7 ▼ Max. 9 ▼ 2022 11 seats Probabilities % QS June 28, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats | Québec solidaire


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Gouin QS safe 1 GOUI 2. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 2 SMSJ 3. Mercier QS likely 3 MERC 4. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS likely 4 HOMA 5. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 5 ROSE 6. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 6 JLES 7. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS 7 TASH 8. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB 8 LAUD 9. Sherbrooke Leaning PQ 9 SHER 10. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Likely LIB 10 SHSA 11. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 11 RONT 12. Saint-François Leaning PQ 12 STFR 13. Maurice-Richard Leaning LIB 13 MAUR 14. Ungava Leaning LIB 14 UNGA 15. Verdun Safe LIB 15 VERD 16. Rimouski Safe PQ 16 RIMO 17. Viau Safe LIB 17 VIAU 18. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 18 RCHM 19. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 19 MROU 20. Orford Likely LIB 20 ORFO 21. Trois-Rivières Leaning PQ 21 TRIV 22. Granby Leaning CAQ 22 GRBY 23. Hull Safe LIB 23 HULL 24. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 24 RDLT 25. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 25 IBER 26. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ 26 CHAP 27. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 27 DAJO 28. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 28 ABIO 29. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 29 PATR 30. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB 30 BROM 31. Bellefeuille Likely PQ 31 BELF 32. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 32 PAPI 33. Marie-Victorin Likely PQ 33 MVIC 34. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 34 MEGA 35. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 35 STJR 36. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 36 STHY 37. Charlesbourg Likely PQ 37 CHAR 38. Montarville Leaning CAQ 38 MTRV 39. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ 39 DRUM 40. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 40 MLGL 41. Borduas Likely CAQ 41 BORD 42. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ 42 JTAL 43. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ 43 CXCB 44. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 44 CHBY 45. Louis-Hébert Leaning PQ 45 LHEB 46. Gatineau Likely LIB 46 GATI 47. La Prairie Leaning CAQ 47 LAPR 48. Berthier Safe PQ 48 BRTH 49. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 49 ABIE 50. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning 50 CHCH 51. Taillon Likely PQ 51 TAIL 52. Prévost Safe PQ 52 PREV 53. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 53 VALR 54. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 54 LASS 55. Verchères Leaning PQ 55 VERC 56. Maskinongé Likely PQ 56 MASK 57. Vachon Leaning PQ 57 VACH 58. Jonquière Safe PQ 58 JONQ 59. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 59 ANLR 60. Huntingdon Likely LIB 60 HUNT 61. Labelle Safe PQ 61 LABL 62. Chauveau PCQ likely 62 CHAU 63. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 63 CHPN 64. Lévis Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 64 LEVI 65. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 65 BEAU 66. Côte-du-Sud Leaning PQ 66 CODS 67. Montmorency PCQ leaning 67 MOMO 68. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 68 LAPO 69. Portneuf PCQ likely 69 PORT 70. Acadie Safe LIB 70 ACAD 71. Bertrand Safe PQ 71 BERT 72. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Likely PQ 72 LVSM 73. Sanguinet Leaning CAQ 73 SANG 74. La Peltrie PCQ likely 74 LAPE 75. Saint-Jean Likely PQ 75 STJN 76. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 76 LOTF 77. Joliette Safe PQ 77 JOLI 78. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 78 BOUS 79. Dubuc Safe PQ 79 DUBU 80. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 80 GROU 81. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 81 NODG 82. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 82 CHIC 83. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ 83 NICO 84. Bonaventure Safe PQ 84 BONA 85. Rousseau Leaning PQ 85 ROUS 86. Blainville Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 86 BLAI 87. Gaspé Safe PQ 87 GASP 88. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 88 RENE 89. Repentigny Leaning PQ 89 REPE 90. Pontiac Safe LIB 90 PONT 91. La Pinière Safe LIB 91 LAPI 92. Marquette Safe LIB 92 MARQ 93. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 93 LVDR 94. Bellechasse PCQ safe 94 BELL 95. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 95 DMON 96. Les Plaines Leaning PQ 96 LPLA 97. Richelieu Likely PQ 97 RCHL 98. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 98 MIRA 99. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 99 CAML 100. Roberval Safe PQ 100 ROBE 101. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely 101 BEAS 102. Châteauguay Safe LIB 102 CHAT 103. Masson Likely PQ 103 MASS 104. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 104 MILI 105. Beauce-Nord PCQ likely 105 BEAN 106. Duplessis Safe PQ 106 DUPL 107. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 107 JMVI 108. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 108 LASJ 109. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 109 IDLM 110. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 110 WSTL 111. Terrebonne Likely PQ 111 TERR 112. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 112 STLR 113. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 113 MAMA 114. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 114 MARG 115. Argenteuil Safe PQ 115 ARGE 116. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB 116 STRO 117. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 117 VIMO 118. Arthabaska-L’Érable Safe PQ 118 ARTH 119. LaFontaine Safe LIB 119 LAFO 120. Fabre Safe LIB 120 FABR 121. Soulanges Safe LIB 121 SOUL 122. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 122 VAUD 123. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 123 DAMC 124. Chomedey Safe LIB 124 CHOM 125. Nelligan Safe LIB 125 NELL 126. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 126 BALD 127. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 127 JACA 338Canada Quebec projection Updated June 28, 2026

Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Gouin
Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois
 QS QS safe
2.
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques
Manon Massé
 QS QS likely
3.
Mercier
Ruba Ghazal
 QS QS likely
4.
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Alexandre Leduc
 QS QS likely
5.
Rosemont
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
 I Toss up PQ/QS
6.
Jean-Lesage
Sol Zanetti
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
7.
Taschereau
Étienne Grandmont
 QS Toss up PQ/QS
8.
Laurier-Dorion
Andrès Fontecilla
 QS Likely LIB
9.
Sherbrooke
Christine Labrie
 QS Leaning PQ
10.
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne
Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
 QS Likely LIB
11.
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue
Daniel Bernard
 CA Likely PQ
12.
Saint-François
Geneviève Hébert
 CA Leaning PQ
13.
Maurice-Richard
Haroun Bouazzi
 QS Leaning LIB
14.
Ungava
Denis Lamothe
 CA Leaning LIB