logo
Quebec
Quebec flag

Parti Québécois

Latest update: June 28, 2026
LeaderPaul Saint-Pierre-Plamondon
National popular vote in 202214.6%
Current vote projection29.8% ± 3.5%
Current number of MNA's7
Current seat projection60 [44-75]

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…

Seat projection Popular vote projection | June 28, 2026 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% Majority: 64 seats Vote efficiency | PQ 338Canada ©2023 4.8 seat/% [44-75] 30% ± 3% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | June 28, 2026

22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 12% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 26.3% 29.8% ± 3.5% Max. 33.3% Probabilities % PQ June 28, 2026

Seat projection | June 28, 2026

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 44 60 Majority 64 seats Max. 75 Probabilities % PQ June 28, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats | Parti Québécois


Majority: 64 seats Hover or tap any riding to view its projection 1. Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Safe PQ 1 MAMA 2. Îles-de-la-Madeleine Safe PQ 2 IDLM 3. Joliette Safe PQ 3 JOLI 4. Berthier Safe PQ 4 BRTH 5. Rimouski Safe PQ 5 RIMO 6. René-Lévesque Safe PQ 6 RENE 7. Labelle Safe PQ 7 LABL 8. Gaspé Safe PQ 8 GASP 9. Bertrand Safe PQ 9 BERT 10. Bonaventure Safe PQ 10 BONA 11. Camille-Laurin Safe PQ 11 CAML 12. Prévost Safe PQ 12 PREV 13. Saint-Jérôme Safe PQ 13 STJR 14. Abitibi-Ouest Safe PQ 14 ABIO 15. Duplessis Safe PQ 15 DUPL 16. Chicoutimi Safe PQ 16 CHIC 17. Lac-Saint-Jean Safe PQ 17 LASJ 18. Jonquière Safe PQ 18 JONQ 19. Argenteuil Safe PQ 19 ARGE 20. Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Safe PQ 20 CXCB 21. Roberval Safe PQ 21 ROBE 22. Pointe-aux-Trembles Safe PQ 22 PATR 23. Arthabaska-L’Érable Safe PQ 23 ARTH 24. Dubuc Safe PQ 24 DUBU 25. Marie-Victorin Likely PQ 25 MVIC 26. Saint-Hyacinthe Likely PQ 26 STHY 27. Saint-Jean Likely PQ 27 STJN 28. Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Likely PQ 28 RONT 29. Daniel-Johnson Likely PQ 29 DAJO 30. Drummond–Bois-Francs Likely PQ 30 DRUM 31. Maskinongé Likely PQ 31 MASK 32. Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Likely PQ 32 LVSM 33. Bellefeuille Likely PQ 33 BELF 34. Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Likely PQ 34 RDLT 35. Richelieu Likely PQ 35 RCHL 36. Taillon Likely PQ 36 TAIL 37. Terrebonne Likely PQ 37 TERR 38. Masson Likely PQ 38 MASS 39. Nicolet-Bécancour Likely PQ 39 NICO 40. Abitibi-Est Likely PQ 40 ABIE 41. Deux-Montagnes Likely PQ 41 DMON 42. Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Likely PQ 42 MLGL 43. Charlesbourg Likely PQ 43 CHAR 44. Les Plaines Leaning PQ 44 LPLA 45. Côte-du-Sud Leaning PQ 45 CODS 46. Verchères Leaning PQ 46 VERC 47. Trois-Rivières Leaning PQ 47 TRIV 48. Repentigny Leaning PQ 48 REPE 49. Louis-Hébert Leaning PQ 49 LHEB 50. Sherbrooke Leaning PQ 50 SHER 51. Rousseau Leaning PQ 51 ROUS 52. Saint-François Leaning PQ 52 STFR 53. Vachon Leaning PQ 53 VACH 54. L’Assomption Toss up PQ/CAQ 54 LASS 55. Blainville Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 55 BLAI 56. Jean-Talon Toss up LIB/PQ 56 JTAL 57. Mirabel Toss up PQ/CAQ 57 MIRA 58. Champlain Toss up PQ/CAQ 58 CHPN 59. Vanier-Les Rivières Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 59 VALR 60. Iberville Toss up PQ/CAQ 60 IBER 61. Groulx Toss up PQ/CAQ 61 GROU 62. Taschereau Toss up PQ/QS 62 TASH 63. Mégantic Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 63 MEGA 64. Chambly Toss up PQ/CAQ 64 CHBY 65. Jean-Lesage Toss up PQ/QS 65 JLES 66. Beauharnois Toss up PQ/CAQ 66 BEAU 67. Lévis Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ 67 LEVI 68. Richmond Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 68 RCHM 69. Ungava Leaning LIB 69 UNGA 70. Montmorency PCQ leaning 70 MOMO 71. Papineau Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ 71 PAPI 72. Rosemont Toss up PQ/QS 72 ROSE 73. Montarville Leaning CAQ 73 MTRV 74. Granby Leaning CAQ 74 GRBY 75. Sanguinet Leaning CAQ 75 SANG 76. Chutes-de-la-Chaudière PCQ leaning 76 CHCH 77. Maurice-Richard Leaning LIB 77 MAUR 78. La Prairie Leaning CAQ 78 LAPR 79. Hochelaga-Maisonneuve QS likely 79 HOMA 80. Lotbinière-Frontenac PCQ leaning 80 LOTF 81. Huntingdon Likely LIB 81 HUNT 82. Chauveau PCQ likely 82 CHAU 83. Portneuf PCQ likely 83 PORT 84. Borduas Likely CAQ 84 BORD 85. Orford Likely LIB 85 ORFO 86. La Peltrie PCQ likely 86 LAPE 87. Chapleau Toss up LIB/CAQ 87 CHAP 88. Brome-Missisquoi Likely LIB 88 BROM 89. Gatineau Likely LIB 89 GATI 90. Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques QS likely 90 SMSJ 91. Gouin QS safe 91 GOUI 92. Bellechasse PCQ safe 92 BELL 93. Beauce-Nord PCQ likely 93 BEAN 94. Laval-des-Rapides Safe LIB 94 LVDR 95. Hull Safe LIB 95 HULL 96. Anjou–Louis-Riel Safe LIB 96 ANLR 97. Mille-Îles Safe LIB 97 MILI 98. Mercier QS likely 98 MERC 99. Sainte-Rose Safe LIB 99 STRO 100. Pierre-Laporte Safe LIB 100 LAPO 101. Soulanges Safe LIB 101 SOUL 102. Beauce-Sud PCQ likely 102 BEAS 103. Châteauguay Safe LIB 103 CHAT 104. La Pinière Safe LIB 104 LAPI 105. Vimont-Auteuil Safe LIB 105 VIMO 106. Vaudreuil Safe LIB 106 VAUD 107. Fabre Safe LIB 107 FABR 108. Viau Safe LIB 108 VIAU 109. Verdun Safe LIB 109 VERD 110. Mont-Royal–Outremont Safe LIB 110 MROU 111. Pontiac Safe LIB 111 PONT 112. Laurier-Dorion Likely LIB 112 LAUD 113. Bourassa-Sauvé Safe LIB 113 BOUS 114. Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Likely LIB 114 SHSA 115. Jeanne-Mance–Viger Safe LIB 115 JMVI 116. Marquette Safe LIB 116 MARQ 117. Saint-Laurent Safe LIB 117 STLR 118. Acadie Safe LIB 118 ACAD 119. LaFontaine Safe LIB 119 LAFO 120. Marguerite-Bourgeoys Safe LIB 120 MARG 121. Chomedey Safe LIB 121 CHOM 122. Westmount–Saint-Louis Safe LIB 122 WSTL 123. Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Safe LIB 123 NODG 124. Nelligan Safe LIB 124 NELL 125. Jacques-Cartier Safe LIB 125 JACA 126. Robert-Baldwin Safe LIB 126 BALD 127. D’Arcy-McGee Safe LIB 127 DAMC 338Canada Quebec projection Updated June 28, 2026

Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Pascal Bérubé
PQ Safe PQ
2.
Joël Arseneau
PQ Safe PQ
3.
François St-Louis
CA Safe PQ
4.
Caroline Proulx
CA Safe PQ
5.
Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]
C Safe PQ
6.
Yves Montigny
CA Safe PQ
7.
Chantal Jeannotte
CA Safe PQ
8.
Stéphane Sainte-Croix
CA Safe PQ
9.
France-Élaine Duranceau
CA Safe PQ
10.
Catherine Blouin
CA Safe PQ
11.
Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
PQ Safe PQ
12.
Sonia Bélanger
CA Safe PQ
13.
Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
14.
Suzanne Blais
CA Safe PQ
15.
Kateri Champagne Jourdain
CA Safe PQ
16.
Marie-Karlynn Laflamme
PQ Safe PQ
17.
Éric Girard
CA Safe PQ
18.
Yannick Gagnon
CA Safe PQ
19.
Agnès Grondin
CA Safe PQ
20. CA Safe PQ
21.
Nancy Guillemette
CA Safe PQ
22.
Chantal Rouleau
CA Safe PQ
23.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Safe PQ
24.
François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]
I Safe PQ
25.
Shirley Dorismond
CA Likely PQ
26.
Chantal Soucy
CA Likely PQ
27.
Louis Lemieux
CA Likely PQ
28. CA Likely PQ
29.
André Lamontagne
CA Likely PQ
30.
Sébastien Schneeberger
CA Likely PQ
31.
Simon Allaire
CA Likely PQ
32.
Marie-Louise Tardif
CA Likely PQ
33.
Vacant
Likely PQ
34. CA Likely PQ
35.
Jean-Bernard Émond
CA Likely PQ
36.
Lionel Carmant
CA Likely PQ
37.
Catherine Gentilcore
PQ Likely PQ
38.
Mathieu Lemay
CA Likely PQ
39.
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
40.
Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
I Likely PQ
41.
Benoit Charette
CA Likely PQ
42. Likely PQ
43.
Jonatan Julien
CA Likely PQ
44.
Lucie Lecours
CA Leaning PQ
45.
Mathieu Rivest
CA Leaning PQ
46.
Suzanne Roy
CA Leaning PQ
47.
Jean Boulet
CA Leaning PQ
48.
Pascale Déry
CA Leaning PQ
49.
Geneviève Guilbault
CA Leaning PQ
50.
Christine Labrie
QS Leaning PQ
51.
Louis-Charles Thouin
CA Leaning PQ
52.
Geneviève Hébert
CA Leaning PQ
53.
Ian Lafrenière
CA Leaning PQ
54.
François Legault
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
55.
Mario Laframboise
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
56.
Pascal Paradis
PQ Toss up LIB/PQ
57.
Sylvie D’Amours
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
58.
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
59.
Mario Asselin
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
60.
Audrey Bogemans
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
61.
Éric Girard
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
62.
Étienne Grandmont
QS Toss up PQ/QS
63.
François Jacques
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
64.
Jean-François Roberge
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
65.
Sol Zanetti
QS Toss up PQ/QS
66.
Claude Reid
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
67.
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
68.
André Bachand
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
69.
Denis Lamothe
CA Leaning LIB
70.
Jean-François Simard
CA PCQ leaning
71.
Mathieu Lacombe
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
72.
Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
I Toss up PQ/QS
73.
Nathalie Roy
CA Leaning CAQ
74.
François Bonnardel
CA Leaning CAQ
75.
Christine Fréchette
CA Leaning CAQ
76.
Martine Biron
CA PCQ leaning
77.
Haroun Bouazzi
QS Leaning LIB
78.
Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
I Leaning CAQ
79.
Alexandre Leduc
QS QS likely
80.
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ leaning
81.
Carole Mallette
CA Likely LIB
82.
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ likely
83.
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ likely
84.
Simon Jolin-Barrette
CA Likely CAQ
85.
Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
I Likely LIB
86.
Éric Caire
CA PCQ likely
87.
Mathieu Lévesque
CA Toss up LIB/CAQ
88.
Isabelle Charest
CA Likely LIB
89.
Robert Bussière
CA Likely LIB
90. QS QS likely