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Quebec Conservative Party

Latest update: May 21, 2026
LeaderÉric Duhaime
National popular vote in 202212.9%
Current vote projection12.8% ± 2.1%
Current number of MNA's1
Current seat projection8 [4-12]

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Seat projection Popular vote projection | May 21, 2026 15 10 5 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% Vote efficiency | CPQ 338Canada ©2023 1.7 seat/% [4-12] 13% ± 2% 2018 2022
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.

Vote projection | May 21, 2026

8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% Min. 10.7% 2022 12.9% 12.8% ± 2.1% Max. 14.9% Probabilities % CPQ May 21, 2026

Seat projection | May 21, 2026

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 2022 0 seats Min. 4 8 Max. 12 Probabilities % CPQ May 21, 2026

List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Conservative Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Samuel Poulin
CA PCQ likely
2.
Luc Provençal
CA PCQ likely
3.
Stéphanie Lachance
CA PCQ likely
4.
Isabelle Lecours
CA PCQ leaning
5.
Sylvain Lévesque
CA PCQ leaning
6.
Éric Caire
CA PCQ leaning
7.
Vincent Caron
CA PCQ leaning
8.
Martine Biron
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
9.
Bernard Drainville
CA Toss up PQ/CPQ
10.
Jean-François Simard
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ
11.
François Jacques
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/CPQ
12.
Mathieu Rivest
CA Leaning PQ
13.
Mario Asselin
CA Likely PQ
14.
Jonatan Julien
CA Likely PQ
15.
Donald Martel
CA Likely PQ
16.
Alex Boissonneault
PQ Likely PQ
17.
Sonia LeBel
CA Toss up PQ/CAQ
18.
André Bachand
CA Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ