Quebec Liberal Party
Latest update: May 21, 2026
| Leader | Charles Milliard |
| National popular vote in 2022 | 14.4% |
| Current vote projection | 27.6% ± 3.0% |
| Current number of MNA's | 18 |
| Current seat projection | 40 [36-50] |
Note: The seats-per-vote function, or vote efficiency, is not a linear function, but can be approximated as one over narrow vote intervals.
Vote projection | May 21, 2026
Seat projection | May 21, 2026
List of favourable electoral districts | Quebec Liberal Party
| Electoral districts | Current party | Projection | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Greg Kelley
|
Safe LIB | |
| 2. | Brigitte Garceau
|
Safe LIB | |
| 3. | Désirée McGraw
|
Safe LIB | |
| 4. | Elisabeth Prass
|
Safe LIB | |
| 5. | Jennifer Maccarone
|
Safe LIB | |
| 6. | Monsef Derraji
|
Safe LIB | |
| 7. | Fred Beauchemin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 8. | André A. Morin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 9. | Enrico Ciccone
|
Safe LIB | |
| 10. | Madwa-Nika Cadet
|
Safe LIB | |
| 11. | Marc Tanguay
|
Safe LIB | |
| 12. | André Fortin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 13. | Filomena Rotiroti
|
Safe LIB | |
| 14. | Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 15. | Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 16. | Frantz Benjamin
|
Safe LIB | |
| 17. | Michelle Setlakwe
|
Safe LIB | |
| 18. | Karine Boivin Roy
|
Safe LIB | |
| 19. | Alejandra Zaga-Mendez
|
Safe LIB | |
| 20. | Linda Caron
|
Safe LIB | |
| 21. | Marie-Claude Nichols
|
Safe LIB | |
| 22. | Suzanne Tremblay
|
Safe LIB | |
| 23. | Virginie Dufour
|
Safe LIB | |
| 24. | Alice Abou-Khalil
|
Safe LIB | |
| 25. | Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]
|
Safe LIB | |
| 26. | Valérie Schmaltz
|
Safe LIB | |
| 27. | Christopher Skeete
|
Safe LIB | |
| 28. | Marie-Belle Gendron
|
Safe LIB | |
| 29. | Céline Haytayan
|
Safe LIB | |
| 30. | Marilyne Picard
|
Safe LIB | |
| 31. | Guillaume Cliche-Rivard
|
Safe LIB | |
| 32. | Robert Bussière
|
Likely LIB | |
| 33. | Andrès Fontecilla
|
Likely LIB | |
| 34. | Isabelle Charest
|
Likely LIB | |
| 35. | Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]
|
Likely LIB | |
| 36. | Carole Mallette
|
Likely LIB | |
| 37. | Mathieu Lévesque
|
Likely LIB | |
| 38. | Haroun Bouazzi
|
Likely LIB | |
| 39. | Denis Lamothe
|
Leaning LIB | |
| 40. | André Bachand
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
| 41. | Christine Labrie
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 42. | Pascal Paradis
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 43. | Ian Lafrenière
|
Toss up LIB/PQ | |
| 44. | Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/QS | |
| 45. | Mathieu Lacombe
|
Toss up LIB/CAQ | |
| 46. | Geneviève Hébert
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 47. | François Jacques
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ/CPQ | |
| 48. | Jean-François Simard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CPQ | |
| 49. | Mario Laframboise
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 50. | Éric Girard
|
Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ | |
| 51. | Ruba Ghazal
|
QS leaning | |
| 52. | Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]
|
Leaning PQ | |
| 53. | Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]
|
Leaning CAQ | |
| 54. | Éric Caire
|
PCQ leaning | |
| 55. | Lionel Carmant
|
Likely PQ | |
| 56. | Nathalie Roy
|
Toss up PQ/CAQ | |
| 57. | Geneviève Guilbault
|
Likely PQ | |
| 58. | Benoit Charette
|
Likely PQ | |
| 59. | Manon Massé
|
QS likely | |
| 60. | Louis Lemieux
|
Likely PQ | |
| 61. | Éric Girard
|
Safe PQ | |
| 62. | Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon
|
Safe PQ | |
| 63. | Alexandre Leduc
|
QS leaning | |
| 64. | Mario Asselin
|
Likely PQ | |
| 65. | Chantal Rouleau
|
Safe PQ | |
| 66. | Shirley Dorismond
|
Safe PQ | |
| 67. | Christine Fréchette
|
Leaning CAQ | |
| 68. | Jonatan Julien
|
Likely PQ | |
| 69. | Jean Boulet
|
Leaning PQ |