Electoral District Projections — Quebec

Latest update: June 28, 2026

The Road to 64 Seats

Electoral districts	Current party	Projection
Abitibi-Est Pierre Dufour [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely PQ
Abitibi-Ouest Suzanne Blais	CA	Safe PQ
Acadie André A. Morin	L	Safe LIB
Anjou–Louis-Riel Karine Boivin Roy	CA	Safe LIB
Argenteuil Agnès Grondin	CA	Safe PQ
Arthabaska-L’Érable Alex Boissonneault	PQ	Safe PQ
Beauce-Nord Luc Provençal	CA	PCQ likely
Beauce-Sud Samuel Poulin	CA	PCQ likely
Beauharnois Claude Reid	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Bellechasse Stéphanie Lachance	CA	PCQ safe
Berthier Caroline Proulx	CA	Safe PQ
Bertrand France-Élaine Duranceau	CA	Safe PQ
Blainville Mario Laframboise	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Bonaventure Catherine Blouin	CA	Safe PQ
Borduas Simon Jolin-Barrette	CA	Likely CAQ
Bourassa-Sauvé Madwa-Nika Cadet	L	Safe LIB
Camille-Laurin Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon	PQ	Safe PQ
Brome-Missisquoi Isabelle Charest	CA	Likely LIB
Chambly Jean-François Roberge	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Champlain Sonia LeBel	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Chapleau Mathieu Lévesque	CA	Toss up LIB/CAQ
Charlesbourg Jonatan Julien	CA	Likely PQ
Charlevoix–Côte-de-Beaupré Kariane Bourassa	CA	Safe PQ
Châteauguay Marie-Belle Gendron	CA	Safe LIB
Chauveau Sylvain Lévesque	CA	PCQ likely
Chicoutimi Marie-Karlynn Laflamme	PQ	Safe PQ
Chomedey Sona Lakhoyan Olivier [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Martine Biron	CA	PCQ leaning
Côte-du-Sud Mathieu Rivest	CA	Leaning PQ
D’Arcy-McGee Elisabeth Prass	L	Safe LIB
Deux-Montagnes Benoit Charette	CA	Likely PQ
Drummond–Bois-Francs Sébastien Schneeberger	CA	Likely PQ
Dubuc François Tremblay [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe PQ
Duplessis Kateri Champagne Jourdain	CA	Safe PQ
Fabre Alice Abou-Khalil	CA	Safe LIB
Gaspé Stéphane Sainte-Croix	CA	Safe PQ
Gatineau Robert Bussière	CA	Likely LIB
Gouin Gabriel Nadeau-Dubois	QS	QS safe
Granby François Bonnardel	CA	Leaning CAQ
Groulx Éric Girard	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Alexandre Leduc	QS	QS likely
Hull Suzanne Tremblay	CA	Safe LIB
Huntingdon Carole Mallette	CA	Likely LIB
Iberville Audrey Bogemans	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Îles-de-la-Madeleine Joël Arseneau	PQ	Safe PQ
Jacques-Cartier Greg Kelley	L	Safe LIB
Jean-Lesage Sol Zanetti	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Jean-Talon Pascal Paradis	PQ	Toss up LIB/PQ
Jeanne-Mance–Viger Filomena Rotiroti	L	Safe LIB
Daniel-Johnson André Lamontagne	CA	Likely PQ
Joliette François St-Louis	CA	Safe PQ
Jonquière Yannick Gagnon	CA	Safe PQ
L’Assomption François Legault	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
La Peltrie Éric Caire	CA	PCQ likely
La Pinière Linda Caron	L	Safe LIB
La Prairie Christian Dubé [Elected as CAQ]	I	Leaning CAQ
Labelle Chantal Jeannotte	CA	Safe PQ
Lac-Saint-Jean Éric Girard	CA	Safe PQ
LaFontaine Marc Tanguay	L	Safe LIB
Pierre-Laporte Isabelle Poulet [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe LIB
Laurier-Dorion Andrès Fontecilla	QS	Likely LIB
Laval-des-Rapides Céline Haytayan	CA	Safe LIB
Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif	CA	Likely PQ
Les Plaines Lucie Lecours	CA	Leaning PQ
Lévis Bernard Drainville	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Lotbinière-Frontenac Isabelle Lecours	CA	PCQ leaning
Louis-Hébert Geneviève Guilbault	CA	Leaning PQ
Marguerite-Bourgeoys Fred Beauchemin	L	Safe LIB
Marie-Victorin Shirley Dorismond	CA	Likely PQ
Marquette Enrico Ciccone	L	Safe LIB
Maskinongé Simon Allaire	CA	Likely PQ
Masson Mathieu Lemay	CA	Likely PQ
Matane-Matapédia-Mitis Pascal Bérubé	PQ	Safe PQ
Maurice-Richard Haroun Bouazzi	QS	Leaning LIB
Mégantic François Jacques	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Mercier Ruba Ghazal	QS	QS likely
Mille-Îles Virginie Dufour	L	Safe LIB
Mirabel Sylvie D’Amours	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ
Mont-Royal–Outremont Michelle Setlakwe	L	Safe LIB
Montarville Nathalie Roy	CA	Leaning CAQ
Montmorency Jean-François Simard	CA	PCQ leaning
Nelligan Monsef Derraji	L	Safe LIB
Nicolet-Bécancour Donald Martel	CA	Likely PQ
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Désirée McGraw	L	Safe LIB
Orford Gilles Bélanger [Elected as CAQ]	I	Likely LIB
Papineau Mathieu Lacombe	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Pointe-aux-Trembles Chantal Rouleau	CA	Safe PQ
Pontiac André Fortin	L	Safe LIB
Portneuf Vincent Caron	CA	PCQ likely
Prévost Sonia Bélanger	CA	Safe PQ
René-Lévesque Yves Montigny	CA	Safe PQ
Repentigny Pascale Déry	CA	Leaning PQ
Richelieu Jean-Bernard Émond	CA	Likely PQ
Richmond André Bachand	CA	Toss up LIB/PQ/CAQ
Rimouski Maïté Blanchette Vézina [Elected as CAQ]	C	Safe PQ
Rivière-du-Loup–Témiscouata–Les Basques Amélie Dionne	CA	Likely PQ
Robert-Baldwin Brigitte Garceau	L	Safe LIB
Roberval Nancy Guillemette	CA	Safe PQ
Rosemont Vincent Marissal [Elected as QS]	I	Toss up PQ/QS
Rousseau Louis-Charles Thouin	CA	Leaning PQ
Rouyn-Noranda–Témiscamingue Daniel Bernard	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-François Geneviève Hébert	CA	Leaning PQ
Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Guillaume Cliche-Rivard	QS	Likely LIB
Saint-Hyacinthe Chantal Soucy	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Jean Louis Lemieux	CA	Likely PQ
Saint-Jérôme Youri Chassin [Elected as CAQ]	I	Safe PQ
Saint-Laurent Marwah Rizqy [Elected as LIB]	I	Safe LIB
Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques Manon Massé	QS	QS likely
Sainte-Rose Christopher Skeete	CA	Safe LIB
Sanguinet Christine Fréchette	CA	Leaning CAQ
Sherbrooke Christine Labrie	QS	Leaning PQ
Soulanges Marilyne Picard	CA	Safe LIB
Taillon Lionel Carmant	CA	Likely PQ
Taschereau Étienne Grandmont	QS	Toss up PQ/QS
Terrebonne Catherine Gentilcore	PQ	Likely PQ
Trois-Rivières Jean Boulet	CA	Leaning PQ
Ungava Denis Lamothe	CA	Leaning LIB
Vachon Ian Lafrenière	CA	Leaning PQ
Vanier-Les Rivières Mario Asselin	CA	Toss up PQ/CAQ/CPQ
Vaudreuil Marie-Claude Nichols	L	Safe LIB
Verchères Suzanne Roy	CA	Leaning PQ
Verdun Alejandra Zaga-Mendez	QS	Safe LIB
Viau Frantz Benjamin	L	Safe LIB
Vimont-Auteuil Valérie Schmaltz	CA	Safe LIB
Westmount–Saint-Louis Jennifer Maccarone	L	Safe LIB
Bellefeuille Vacant		Likely PQ
Marie-Lacoste-Gérin-Lajoie Vacant		Likely PQ