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New Democratic Party

Latest update: March 14, 2026
LeaderNaheed Nenshi
Popular vote in 202344.1%
Current vote projection39.8% ± 4.6%
Current number of MLA's38
Current seat projection31 [19-42]

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Vote projection | March 14, 2026

29% 30% 31% 32% 33% 34% 35% 36% 37% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 46% 47% 48% 49% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 35.1% 39.8% ± 4.6% 2023 44.1% Max. 44.4% Probabilities % NDP

Seat projection | March 14, 2026

4 9 14 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% Min. 19 31 2023 38 seats Max. 42 Majority 44 seats Probabilities % NDP

List of favourable electoral districts | New Democratic Party



Electoral districts Current party Projection
1.
Naheed Nenshi
N Safe NDP
2.
David Shepherd
N Safe NDP
3. N Safe NDP
4.
Marlin Schmidt
N Safe NDP
5.
Sarah Hoffman
N Safe NDP
6.
Lori Sigurdson
N Safe NDP
7.
Kathleen Ganley
N Safe NDP
8.
Jodi Calahoo Stonehouse
N Safe NDP
9.
Joe Ceci
N Safe NDP
10.
Shannon Phillips
N Likely NDP
11.
Jasvir Deol
N Likely NDP
12.
Rakhi Pancholi
N Likely NDP
13.
Gurtej Singh Brar
N Likely NDP
14.
Sarah Elmeligi
N Likely NDP
15.
Christina Gray
N Likely NDP
16.
David Eggen
N Likely NDP
17.
Lorne Dach
N Likely NDP
18.
Heather Sweet
N Likely NDP
19.
Luanne Metz
N Likely NDP
20.
Marie Renaud
N Likely NDP
21.
Rhiannon Hoyle
N Leaning NDP
22.
Parmeet Singh Boparai
N Leaning NDP
23.
Janet Eremenko
N Leaning NDP
24.
Brooks Arcand-Paul
N Leaning NDP
25. N Leaning NDP
26. N Leaning NDP
27.
Nathan Neudorf
C Leaning NDP gain
28.
Nicole Goehring
N Toss up UCP/NDP
29. N Toss up UCP/NDP
30.
Sharif Haji
N Toss up UCP/NDP
31.
Gurinder Brar
N Toss up UCP/NDP
32.
Kyle Kasawski
N Toss up UCP/NDP
33.
Amanda Chapman
N Toss up UCP/NDP
34.
Samir Kayande
N Toss up UCP/NDP
35.
Lizette Tejada
N Leaning UCP gain
36.
Jason Stephan
C Leaning UCP
37.
Julia Hayter
N Leaning UCP gain
38.
Court Ellingson
N Leaning UCP gain
39.
Diana Batten
N Leaning UCP gain
40.
Nagwan Al-Guneid
N Leaning UCP gain
41.
Adriana Lagrange
C Leaning UCP
42.
Muhammad Yaseen
C Leaning UCP
43.
Rajan Sawhney
C Likely UCP
44.
Demetrios Nicolaides
C Likely UCP
45.
Mickey Amery
C Likely UCP
46.
Jackie Armstrong-Homeniuk
C Likely UCP
47.
Peter Singh
C Likely UCP
48. C Likely UCP
49.
Scott Sinclair [Elected as UCP]
I Likely UCP
50.
Justin Wright
C Likely UCP
51.
Myles Mcdougall
C Likely UCP
52. C Likely UCP
53.
Richard William (Ric) Mciver
C Safe UCP
54.
Nolan Dyck
C Safe UCP
55.
Tanya Fir
C Safe UCP
56.
Eric Bouchard
C Safe UCP
57.
Mike Ellis
C Safe UCP
58.
Rebecca Schulz
C Safe UCP
59.
Brandon Lunty
C Safe UCP